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基于BP神经网络模型的新疆建设用地分析

  • 段祖亮 ,
  • 张小雷 ,
  • 权晓燕
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  • 1. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所, 乌鲁木齐 830011;
    2. 中国科学院研究生院, 北京 100049

收稿日期: 2009-02-05

  修回日期: 2009-03-11

  网络出版日期: 2009-07-15

基金资助

中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KZCX2-YW-321-03)和中国科学院知识创新重大项目(KZCX2-XB2-03-03)资助 

Analysis of construction land by back-propagation neural network model with Xinjiang as a case

  • DUAN Zu-Liang ,
  • ZHANG Xiao-Lei ,
  • QUAN Xiao-Yan
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  • 1. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China;
    2. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Received date: 2009-02-05

  Revised date: 2009-03-11

  Online published: 2009-07-15

摘要

鉴于BP神经网络在非线性领域预测中的应用,以新疆建设用地为研究对象,构建BP神经网络预测模型,选取1996~2006年总人口、城市化水平、GDP等10个因子,反映新疆人口状况、经济发展水平、产业结构及投资水平作为网络的仿真输入,对2007年新疆建设用地进行模拟预测,预测结果与实际面积的相对误差仅为0.06%.最后针对新疆建设用地中存在的问题,提出了保障经济与社会协调可持续发展的土地利用策略.

本文引用格式

段祖亮 , 张小雷 , 权晓燕 . 基于BP神经网络模型的新疆建设用地分析[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2009 , 26(4) : 451 -457 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2009.4.004

Abstract

Taking Xinjiang as an example, we establish a predicting model by using BP neural network, and make a prediction of construction land in 2007. The model learning samples are from the social-economic statistical data between 1996 and 2006. The results show that the relative error between the predicted and actual value is only 0.06%, and the BP neural network has higher precision and better effectiveness than traditional methods. Some strategic countermeasures are put forward for sustainable land use in Xinjiang.

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