收稿日期: 2010-04-16
修回日期: 2010-09-17
网络出版日期: 2011-05-15
基金资助
国家自然科学基金(41071113)和中国科学院西部博士资助项目(XBBS200805)资助
Assessment of sustainable ability of energy and mineral resources exploitation in Wu-Chang region
Received date: 2010-04-16
Revised date: 2010-09-17
Online published: 2011-05-15
选取乌昌地区为研究区域,综合运用频度分析法、理论分析法和专家咨询法构建指标体系,通过层次分析法对乌昌地区能矿资源的可持续利用能力进行评价,得出结论:1)能矿资源规模与供给系统指数呈现明显的波动状态,分别在1999年和2005年形成波谷; 2)资源利用的经济效益系统指数基本呈现上升趋势;3)环境压力与环境治理系统指数呈现明显的阶段性上升的特征;4)乌昌地区能矿资源可持续利用的能力指数呈现出平稳上升的趋势.受乌昌地区水资源短缺和生态环境脆弱等因素影响,对能矿资源可持续能力影响最大的子系统为环境压力与环境治理系统.在各指标中,对能矿资源可持续能力影响较大的指标是能矿资源生产总量、水资源利用相关指标以及资源型产业的GDP和资源型产业固定投资比重等.
杨宇 , 董雯 , 刘毅 , 张小雷 , 雷军 . 乌昌地区能矿资源开发利用的可持续能力评价[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2011 , 28(3) : 328 -335 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2011.3.008
We use the frequency analysis, theoretical analysis, and expert consultation methods to build an index system, and estimate the capacity of the sustainable utilization of energy and mineral resources in Wu-Chang region by AHP. The conclusions are as follows: 1) the indexes of the resources scale and support system show significant fluctuations, forming troughs in 1999 and 2005, respectively; 2) the economic resources system index shows an upward trend; 3) environmental pressure and environmental management system indexes show obvious rising phase characteristics; and 4) the sustainable capacity indexes of the energy and mineral resources utilization in Wu-Chang region show steady increasing trends.
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