构建了京津冀都市圈的区域经济增长的时空诊断模型,对京津冀都市圈经济增长的内在机制进行分析,得出以下3点结论. 第1,技术是京津冀都市圈经济增长的引擎,但受"2市1省"行政管理和产业链建构模式等的限制,技术溢出在区域经济联系中的作用有限. 第2,投资、需求等传统经济增长要素在京津冀都市圈经济增长中发挥重要作用,京津冀都市圈经济处于"投资拉动型"和"需求引导型"阶段. 第3,区域间相互作用在京津冀都市圈经济增长中的作用呈逐渐增大趋势.
Using the spatiotemporal diagnosis model, we analyzed mechanism of regional economic growth in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region from 1993 to 2007. Some conclusions are drawn as follows. First, technology is the engine of economic growth in this region. Secondly, investment and consumption demands are important factors in economic development of this region. Thirdly, spatial interaction has gradually increasing trend in this region.
[1] Zhang J. Investment,investment efficiency,and economic growth in China[J]. Journal of Asian Economics,2003,14(5):713-734.
[2] Chow G. Capital formation and economic growth in China[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economic,1993,108(3):809-842.
[3] Krugman P. The myth of Asia's miracle[J]. Foreign Affairs,1994(73):62-78.
[4] Borensztein E, Ostry D J. Accounting for China's growth performance[J]. American Economic Review,1996, 86(2):224-228.
[5] Wang Y,Yao Y D. Sources of China's economic growth 1952—1999:incorporating human capital accumulation[J]. China Economic Review,2003,14(1):32-52.
[6] Yuang Z G, He Z Y. A new perspective on the current situation of Chinese macro economy[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2004(7):38-47(in Chinese). 袁志刚,何樟勇. 以新的视角审视当前中国宏观经济增长[J].经济研究,2004(7):38-47.
[7] Wei H K. Effects of foreign direct investment on regional economic growth in China[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2002(4):19-26(in Chinese). 魏后凯. 外商直接投资对中国区域经济增长的影响[J]. 经济研究,2002(4):19-26.
[8] Yi G, Fan G, Li Y. A theoretical analysis on economic growth in China and total factor productivity[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2003(8):13-20(in Chinese). 易纲,樊纲,李岩. 关于中国经济增长与全要素生产率的理论思考[J]. 经济研究,2003(8):13-20.
[9] Krugman P. Geography and trade[M]. Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 1991.
[10] Fujita M, Krugman P, Venables A. The spatial economy: cities, regions, and international trade[M]. Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 1999.
[11] Fingleton B. Theoretical economic geography and spatial econometrics:dynamic perspectives[J]. Journal of Economic Geography,2001(1):201-225.
[12] Liu X H, Wang J F, Meng B. On China's spatio-temporal dynamics and imbalance of regional economy[J]. Geographical Research, 2004,23(3):530-540(in Chinese). 刘旭华,王劲峰,孟斌.中国区域经济时空动态不平衡发展分析[J].地理研究,2004,23(3):530-540.
[13] Sylvie Démurger. The relative contributions of location and preferential policies in China's regional development[J]. Journal of Economic Geography,2002(9):14-23(in Chinese). Sylvie D.地理位置与优惠政策对中国地区经济发展的相关贡献[J].经济研究,2002(9):14-23.
[14] Guo T Y, Lu D D, Gan G H.Effects of China's opening-up policy on the nation's regional economic development[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2001,56(5): 581-590(in Chinese). 郭腾云,陆大道,甘国辉.中国开放政策对区域发展的作用[J].地理学报,2001,56(5): 581-590.
[15] 汪海波.中国经济发展30年(1978—2008)[M]. 北京:中国社会科学出版社,2008.
[16] Robert H N. Spatial data analysis:theory and practice[M]. Cambridge University Press,2003.
[17] Ma G X, Tian Y J, Wang Z Q. Quantitative analysis of regional economic disparity and dynamic mechanism in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan region[J]. Journal of the Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2007,24(4):446-452(in Chinese). 马国霞, 田玉军, 王志强.京津冀都市圈经济增长区域差异及其动力机制量化分析[J].中国科学院研究生院学报,2007,24(4):446-452.
