收稿日期: 2013-02-21
修回日期: 2013-05-17
网络出版日期: 2014-05-15
基金资助
国家973项目(2010CB428503)和国家自然科学基金(41075106)资助
Investigation of interannual variations in anthropogenic emission in China based on several emission inventories
Received date: 2013-02-21
Revised date: 2013-05-17
Online published: 2014-05-15
谢祖欣 , 韩志伟 . 基于排放清单的中国地区人为排放源的年际变化[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2014 , 31(3) : 289 -296 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2014.03.001
Different emission inventories were applied to investigate the spatial distribution and temporal variation of anthropogenic emission in China during the period from 2000 to 2010. The analysis results indicate that the total anthropogenic emission generally increased during the past 10 years. NOx emission increased continuouslly and it exceeded SO2 emission in 2010. From 2006 to 2010, PM10 and SO2 emissions decreased by 76% and 10%, respectively. From 2000 to 2010, the emissions of SO2, NOx, and BC increased by 5.6 Tg (25%), 13.1 Tg (85%), and 0.3 Tg (20%), respectively, but OC emission decreased by about 0.7 Tg (17%), PM10 emission largely decreased by 12.4 Tg (74%), and there was no obvious change in NMVOC emission. There are quite large differences in the temporal variations of emissions among different regions of China.
Key words: emission inventory; pollution; China
[1] Harrison R M, Yin J X. Particulate matter in the atmosphere: Which particle properties are important for its effects on health?[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2000, 249 (1-3): 85-101.
[2] Samet J M, Dominici F, Curriero F C, et al. Fine particulate air pollution and mortality in 20 US cities, 1987—1994[J]. New England Journal of Medicine, 2000, 343 (24): 1742-1749.
[3] Pope C A, Burnett R T, Thun M J, et al. Lung cancer, cardiopulmonary mortality, and long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution[J]. Journal of the American Medical Association, 2002, 287 (9): 1132-1141.
[4] Poschl U. Atmospheric aerosols: composition, transformation, climate and health effect[J]. Angewandte Chemie-international Edition, 2005, 44 (46): 7520-7540.
[5] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007 the physical science basis of climate change: changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing[M]. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007: 26-27.
[6] Ramanathan V, Crutzen R J, Kiehl J T, et al. Atmosphere:aerosols, climate, and the hydrological cycle[J]. Science, 2001, 294 (5549): 2119-2124.
[7] Yi H H, Hao J J, Tang X L. Atmospheric environmental protection in China: current status, developmental trend and research emphasis[J]. Energy Policy, 2007, 35 (2): 907-915.
[8] 唐孝炎, 张远航, 邵敏. 大气环境科学[M]. 2版. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2006.
[9] Jacob D J J, Crawford M M, Kleb V S, et al. Transport and chemical evolution over the pacific (TRACE-P) mission: design, execution, and first results[J]. J Geophys Res, 2003, 108 (D20): 1-19.
[10] Huebert B J, Bates P B, Russell G, et al. An overview of ACE-Asia: strategies for quantifying the relationship between Asian aerosols and their climatic impacts[J]. J Geophys Res, 2003, 108 (D23), 8633, doi:10.1029/2003JD003550.
[11] Streets D G, Bond T C, Carmichael G R, et al. An inventory of gaseous and primary aerosol emission in Asia in the year 2000[J]. J Geophys Res, 2003, 108 (D21),16,doi:10.1029/2002JD003093.
[12] Streets D G, Yarber K F, Woo J H, et al. Biomass burning in Asia: annual and seasonal estimates and atmospheric emission[J]. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2003, 17(4):101-119.
[13] Zhang Q, Streets D G, Carmichael G R, et al. Asian emissions in 2006 for the NASA INTEX-B emission[J]. Atmos Chem Phy, 2009, 9 (14): 5131-5153.
[14] Ohara T, Akomoto H, Kurokawa J, et al. An Asia emission inventory of anthropogenic emission sources for the period 1980—2020[J]. Atmos Chem Phy, 2007, 7 (16): 4419-4444.
[15] Foell W, Green C, Amann M, et al. Energy use, emissions and air pollution reduction strategies in Asia[J]. Water Air and Soil Pollution, 1995, 85: 2277-2282.
[16] Dowing R J, Ramankutty R, Shah J J. RAINS-ASIA: an assessment model for acid deposition in Asia[M]. Washington, DC: The Word Bank, 1997.
[17] Arndt R I, Carmichael G R, Streets D G, et al. Sulfur dioxide emissions and sectorial contributions to sulfur deposition in Asia[J]. Atmos Environ, 1997, 31: 1553-1572.
[18] Streets D G, Waldhoff S T. Present and future emissions of air pollutants in China: SO2, NOx and CO[J]. Atmos Environ, 2000, 34: 363-374.
[19] Lamarque J F, Bond T C, Eyring V, et al. Historical (1850—2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application[J]. Atmos Chem Phy, 2010, 10 (15): 7019-7039.
[20] Meinshausen M, Smith S J, Calvin K, et al. The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300[J]. Climate Change, 2011, 109 (1/2): 213-241.
[21] Benkovitz C M, Scholz M T, Pacyna J, et al. Global gridded inventories of anthropogenic emissions of sulfur and nitrogen[J]. J Geophys Res, 1996, 101 (D22): 29 239-29 253.
[22] Guenther A, Hewitt C N, Erickson D, et al. A global-model of natural volatile organic-compound emissions[J]. J Geophys Res, 1995, 100 (D5): 8873-8892.
[23] Bouwman A F, Lee D S, Asman W A H, et al. A global high-resolution emission inventory for ammonia[J]. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 1997, 11 (4): 561-587.
[24] 张强, Klimont Z, Streets D G,等. 中国人为源颗粒物排放模型及2001年排放清单估算[J].自然科学进展, 2006,16 (2): 223-231.
[25] Streets D G, Hao J M, Wu Y, et al. Anthropogenic mercury emission in China[J]. Atmos Environ, 2005, 39 (40): 7789-7806.
[26] Klimont Z D G, Streets D G, Gupta J, et al. Anthropogenic emission of non-methane volatile organic compounds in China[J]. Atmos Environ, 2002, 36 (8): 1309-1322.
[27] Xiong Z. Simulation and analysis of climate and its inter-annual variability over East Asia by regional climate model. Beijing:Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2001(in Chinese). 熊喆.区域气候模式对东亚气候及其年际变率的模拟和分析.北京:中国科学院大气物理研究所,2001.
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |