欢迎访问中国科学院大学学报,今天是
论文

关于中强震前的应变加速释放现象

  • 蒋长胜 ,
  • 吴忠良
展开
  • 1. 中国地震局地球物理研究所, 北京 100081;
    2. 中国科学院研究生院计算地球动力学实验室, 北京 100049

收稿日期: 2004-07-15

  修回日期: 2004-10-18

  网络出版日期: 2005-05-15

Accelerating Strain Release before Strong Earthquakes:More Complex in the Real World

  • JIANG Chang-Sheng ,
  • WU Zhong-Liang
Expand
  • 1. Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, China;
    2. Laboratory of computational Geodynamics, Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Received date: 2004-07-15

  Revised date: 2004-10-18

  Online published: 2005-05-15

摘要

针对中强地震前是否会出现地震活动性增强现象的问题,研究了1990~2003年中国MS70以上地震.对于同一个地震事件,考虑了多个不同的时间和空间尺度,结果表明,中强震前的地震活动性远比用简单的应变加速释放模型来描述复杂得多.因此,将应变加速释放模型应用于地震危险性估计,仍需做更多的研究.

本文引用格式

蒋长胜 , 吴忠良 . 关于中强震前的应变加速释放现象[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2005 , 22(3) : 286 -291 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2005.3.005

Abstract

Considering different spatial and temporal ranges for the same earthquake,we investigate the objectivity and generality of the phenomenon of accelerating strain release before stmng earthquakes. A systematic analysis of all the earthquakes which occurred in China with Ms≥7.0 from 1990 to 2003 is conducted. It is found that the real seismic activity seems much more complex than the simple pattern as described by the accelerating strain release model.Therefore,the potentials of application of accelerating strain release model to the estimation of seismic hazard are in need of future investigation.

参考文献

[1] Knopoff L, Levshina T, Keilis2Borok VI, et al. Increased long2range intermediate2magnitude earthquake activity prior to strong earthquakes in California. J. Geophys. Res.,1996, 101:5779~5796

[2] Sornette D, Sammis CG. Critical exponentsfrom renomalization group theoryof earthquakes: implicationsfor earthquake prediction. J. Phys. I., 1995, 5: 607~619

[3] Jaumé SC, Sykes LR. Evolving towards a critical point :a reviewof accelerating seismic momentΠenergy release prior to large and great earthquake. Pure Appl. Geophys., 1999, 155: 279~306

[4] Varnes DJ. Predicting earthquakes by analyzing accelerating precursory seismic activity. Pure Appl. Geophys., 1989, 130: 661~686

[5] Bufe CG, Varnes DJ. Predictive modeling of the seismic cycle of the Greater San Francisco Bay Region. J. Geophys. Res., 1993, 98:9871~ 9883

[6] Bufe CG, Nishenko SP, Varnes DJ. Seismicity trends and potential for large earthquake in the Alaska2Aleutian region. Pure Appl. Geophys., 1994, 142: 83~99

[7] Vere2Jones D, Robinson R, Yang WZ. Remarks on the accelerated moment release model : problems of model formulation and estimation. Geophys. J. Int., 2001, 144: 517~531

[8] Kanamori H, Anderson DL. Theoretical basis of some empirical relation in seismology. Bull. Seism. Soc. Amer., 1975, 65: 1073~1096

[9] Bowman DD, Ouillon G, Sammis CG, et al. An observational test of the critical earthquake concept. J. Geophys. Res.,1998, 103: 24359~ 24372

[10] Yin XC, Mora P, Peng KY, et al. Load2unload response ratio and accelerating momentΠenergy release critical region scaling and earthquake prediction. Pure Appl. Geophys., 2002, 159: 2511~2523

[11] Yang WZ, Vere2Jones D, Ma L, et al. A method for locating the critical region of a future earthquake using the critical earthquake concept. Earthquake, 2000, 20(4) : 28~37(in Chinese with English abstract)

[12] Liu PX, Zheng DL, Che S, et al. Seismicity anomalies before the great earthquake of MS=811 in Kunlun pass and its significance to earthquake prediction. Acta Seismologica Sinica(English edition),2003, 16: 219~225

文章导航

/