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自组织临界性与森林火灾系统的宏观规律性

  • 宋卫国 ,
  • 汪秉宏 ,
  • 舒立福 ,
  • 赵林城
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  • 1. 中国科学技术大学火灾科学国家重点实验室, 合肥 230026;
    2. 中国林业科学研究院森林保护所, 北京 100091;
    3. 中国科学技术大学统计与金融系, 合肥 230026

收稿日期: 2002-04-16

  修回日期: 2002-09-19

  网络出版日期: 2003-03-10

基金资助

国家重点基础研究发展规划(973)项目(2001CB409602),国家自然科学基金项目(50076041,59876039,39970621)和国家博士后科学基金资助

Self-Organized Criticality and Macro-Characteristics of Forest Fire System

  • Song Weiguo ,
  • Wang Binghong ,
  • Shu Lifu ,
  • Zhao Lincheng
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  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Fire Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China;
    2. Research Institute of Forest Ecology, Environment and Protection, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China;
    3. Department of Statistics and Finance, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China

Received date: 2002-04-16

  Revised date: 2002-09-19

  Online published: 2003-03-10

摘要

重点综述了中国森林火灾系统的宏观规律之一--"自组织临界性"的研究,包括:(1)对中国1950年至1989年的真实森林火灾数据进行了分析,并发现了自组织临界性;(2)综合真实森林火灾系统所受到的外界因素(包括人为、环境、树种等),对经典森林火灾模型进行了修正,并构建了新模型;(3)模拟了森林火灾模型的有限尺度效应,分析了它的实际意义.

本文引用格式

宋卫国 , 汪秉宏 , 舒立福 , 赵林城 . 自组织临界性与森林火灾系统的宏观规律性[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2003 , 20(2) : 205 -211 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2003.2.014

Abstract

The macro-characteristics, the self-organized criticality (SOC) in particular, is useful at fire protection. The paper reviews the study on SOC of authors, including: (1) SOC analysis of forest fire data between the period 1950~1989 in China.(2)construction of a generalized forest-fire model combining environmental conditions, tree species and efforts of human beings.(3)the finite-size effects of forest-fire model. The practical implications of these studies are also analyzed.

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