收稿日期: 2002-07-02
修回日期: 2002-09-16
网络出版日期: 2003-05-10
基金资助
中国科学院知识创新工程领域前沿项目(KSCX3 IOZ 0 4)资助
Relationships Between Population, Longevity and Era: Based on a Chinese Family Tree
Received date: 2002-07-02
Revised date: 2002-09-16
Online published: 2003-05-10
盛如 , 宣维健 , 盛承发 . 人口和寿命与年代关系:基于家谱资料[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2003 , 20(3) : 361 -367 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2003.3.017
According to the demographic data from the 6th branch in Qianchuan Sheng Family, the numbers of births, deaths and net populat ion growth of men and women survived to over 15 years old increased roughly in the exponential function during a period of 1507~ 2000. However, this growth pattern varied in different periods. Two times of dramatic decreases in the populations of men and women happened in the late years of Ming and Qing dynast ies during 1601~ 1650 and 1851~ 1900, respectively. After the decreases there were two dramat ic increases. Regressions showed that predicted longevities of the men and women decreased by 2. 95 and 3. 17 years every 50 years during the period. In 1951~ 2000, the numbers of births and net increases remained at relatively high levels, and longevities of the men and women rebounded to 57. 8 and 58. 4 years, respectively. In 1991~ 2000, the longevit ies were over 60.3 and 64. 6 years, respectively.
Key words: human population; longevity; eraChinese family tree; historical ecology
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