收稿日期: 2001-10-08
修回日期: 2002-01-18
网络出版日期: 2002-03-18
基金资助
山东省自然科学基金项目(Y98E0 10 72 );中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所知识创新工程专项基金项目(SJIOG -A0 0 -0 1)
Studies on Impacts of CO2 Doubling on Hydrologic Extremes in Mihe Basin
Received date: 2001-10-08
Revised date: 2002-01-18
Online published: 2002-03-18
徐立荣 , 雒昆利 , 常军 , 李爱贞 . CO2加倍对弥河流域水文极端事件的影响研究[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2002 , 19(2) : 121 -124 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2002.2.004
More and more attention has focused on assessing the impacts of climate change on hydrological extremes at present. In this paper, based on the available stochastic model for daily runoff, the annual average runoff data is produced randomly by means of the P-Ⅲ model. The results state that the modified stochastic model for daily runoff is suitable for the study area. Under the condition of CO 2 doubling, there are more droughts in Mihe basin, meanwhile the floods are possible.
Key words： CO2 doubling; hydrological extremes; stochastic model; Mihe basin
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