收稿日期: 2002-03-15
修回日期: 2002-07-10
网络出版日期: 2003-03-10
基金资助
中国科学院重大项目(KZ951-A1-403)资助
Experimental Study of Numerical Forecast on Urban Air Quality
Received date: 2002-03-15
Revised date: 2002-07-10
Online published: 2003-03-10
雷源 , 王颖 , 雷孝恩 . 城市空气质量数值预报试验研究[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2003 , 20(2) : 146 -154 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2003.2.003
In order to make business forecast on urban air quality, a new city-scale coupling model system between meteorology and air quality has been developed recently. The system was used to do a lot of experimental studies on practical forecast of air quality for 24 hours in Chongqing, Tianjin, Guangzhou, and Jinan cities.Comparisons between forecasted and field measured concentration-meteorology fields show that ensemble mean of ratios between forecasted and measured concentrations (SO2, NO2, and PM10) and wind speed are 1.02±0.36 and 1.08±0.38; probability that difference between forecasted and measured wind direction is less than 67.5° can exceed 80%; probability that difference between forecasted and measured temperature is less than 1.0°C can exceed 75%; forecasting accuracy of rainfall amount for 24 hours is more than 80%; forecasting accuracy of daily mean API can exceed 80%; there are good agreements between forecasted and measured concentration-meteorology fields.
[1] 雷孝恩,张美根,韩志伟. 大气污染数值预报基础和模式.北京:中国气象出版社, 1998.321
[2] Joiner E J. Improving Air Quality forecasts.1998; http://www.arb.ca.gov/research/apr//plan.htm
[3] Lau K H. Understand urban pollution with city-scale MM5 simulations, proceedings for the ninth PSU/UCAR mesoscale model users workshop.1999. 54~55
[4] NAPAP.Regional acid deposition model and engineering model.Acid deposition: State of science and technology, Report 4.1990.200
[5] Lei X E. A new dry deposition velocity pattern and its practical application in high resolution regional acid deposition model. Acta Meteo Sin, 1996,10:118~128
[6] 冯宗炜,等.中国森林生态系统和生物量和生产力.北京:科学出版社, 1999.300
[7] Lei X E, Han Z W,Zhang M G. Physical, Chemical, Biological Processes and Mathematical Model on Air Pollution. China Meteorological Press, 1998.355
[8] Zheng X H, et al.Mitigation options for methane, nitrous oxides and nitric oxide emissions from agricultural ecosystems. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2000,17(1): 83~92
[9] Prather M J. Numerical advection by conservation of 2-order moments. Journal of Geophysical Research,1986,91:6671~6681
[10] Ge X Z,Lei X E. Application and numerical experiments of the highly-accurate advection scheme in regional transfer model. Meteorol Atmos Phys,1998,66: 131~142
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
