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考虑消费信贷情况下的多产品最优免息期决策*

张泽龙, 言小明   

  1. 中国科学技术大学 管理学院,合肥 230026
  • 收稿日期:2024-07-05 修回日期:2024-09-05 发布日期:2024-12-23
  • 通讯作者: E-mail: yanxm325@ustc.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    *国家自然科学基金(71971200)资助

Optimal grace period decisions for multiple products under consumer credit

ZHANG Zelong, YAN Xiaoming   

  1. School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Received:2024-07-05 Revised:2024-09-05 Published:2024-12-23

摘要: 越来越多金融机构、平台公司等布局消费信贷行业,推出信贷免息期以吸引顾客,刺激消费。考虑一个销售多种可替代产品并提供相应免息消费信贷服务的公司,应用随机效应理论建立多项逻辑选择模型,并将消费者对免息信贷服务的反应纳入模型,分别在线性和非线性信贷服务成本结构下得到企业的最优免息期决策。研究发现,本质上我们可以将多产品最优问题转化成单一变量寻根问题,降低求解难度;有趣的是,消费信贷的最优免息期并不一定随着信贷服务成本的提升而缩减,也并不一定随着顾客对信贷服务偏好度的提升而增加;数值仿真发现,利润边际越大的产品,其对应的最优免息期也更长。为每个产品都提供专属的最优免息期方案整体利润均高于统一免息期方案,尤其是当企业的销售收入利用能力不强时,前者方案下的利润提升更加显著。

关键词: 消费信贷, 免息期, 多项逻辑选择模型, 多产品优化

Abstract: Consumer credit products have prevailed for a long time, allowing customers to spend first and pay later, stimulating customers to purchase products. Banks, financial services companies, e-commerce platforms have all strategically laid out this industry and provided corresponding online consumer credit services. To make it work out more, companies will offer interest-free consumer credit services. We consider a firm that sells multiple substitutable products and provides interest-free consumer credit services and bears the services costs. We develop a MNL model and incorporate consumer responses to consumer credit services into the model, the firm’s objective is to make the optimal decisions of grace period for each product to maximize the total profit under linear and nonlinear credit service cost structures, respectively. The findings indicate that we can essentially transform the multiple products optimization problem into a single-variable root searching problem, which reduces the calculation complexity; The optimal grace period does not necessarily shrink with the increase of credit service cost and vice versa; Numerical analysis reveals that products with larger profit margins have longer optimal grace periods. We also compare the pros and cons of the two different credit options—uniform optimal grace periods for all products (Option 1) and “one exclusive optimal grace period for one product” (Option 2), we find that firm’s total profit from implementing Option 2 is always larger than that from implementing Option 1, especially when the firm’s ability to utilize the sales revenue is not strong, the profit improvement under Option 2 scheme is more significant.

Key words: consumer credit, grace period, MNL, multiple product optimization

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