Land-use change process in recent ten years and trend analysis in Changsha in future

doi:10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2014.05.008

Abstract

Abstract:

For truly describing the process and trend of land-use change, HJ-CCD and ETM imagery was used to obtain land-use change information in Changsha in the recent ten years(2000-2010). Then we used models including land-use dynamic model, degree change model, and transition matrix to quantitatively analyze the land-use change process information in Changsha in the ten years. Furthermore, P_s trend index was used to forecast the trend for each type of land-use changes in future. The results are the following. The spatial transfer of the artificial surface is not frequent, and the area will be rapidly expanded due to transfer from farmland. The spatial transfers of farmland and woodland are frequent. Most of farmlands will become artificial surfaces in future. Forestland will transfer most likely to artificial surfaces and also to grass. Grass will expand due to transfer from badland. Badland will continuously become artificial surfaces.

Key words: land-use, transformation matrix, transformation trend, relative frequency index

CLC Number:

TP751
P237

LUO Kaisheng, LI Rendong. Land-use change process in recent ten years and trend analysis in Changsha in future[J]. , 2014, 31(5): 632-639.

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