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Relationships Between Population, Longevity and Era: Based on a Chinese Family Tree

  • SHENG Ru ,
  • XUAN WeiJian ,
  • SHENG ChengFa
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  • 1. Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China;
    2. Department of Mathematics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China

Received date: 2002-07-02

  Revised date: 2002-09-16

  Online published: 2003-05-10

Abstract

According to the demographic data from the 6th branch in Qianchuan Sheng Family, the numbers of births, deaths and net populat ion growth of men and women survived to over 15 years old increased roughly in the exponential function during a period of 1507~ 2000. However, this growth pattern varied in different periods. Two times of dramatic decreases in the populations of men and women happened in the late years of Ming and Qing dynast ies during 1601~ 1650 and 1851~ 1900, respectively. After the decreases there were two dramat ic increases. Regressions showed that predicted longevities of the men and women decreased by 2. 95 and 3. 17 years every 50 years during the period. In 1951~ 2000, the numbers of births and net increases remained at relatively high levels, and longevities of the men and women rebounded to 57. 8 and 58. 4 years, respectively. In 1991~ 2000, the longevit ies were over 60.3 and 64. 6 years, respectively.

Cite this article

SHENG Ru , XUAN WeiJian , SHENG ChengFa . Relationships Between Population, Longevity and Era: Based on a Chinese Family Tree[J]. Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2003 , 20(3) : 361 -367 . DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2003.3.017

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