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中国科学院大学学报 ›› 2006, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1): 91-96.DOI: 10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2006.1.019

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域发展政策与区域经济增长空间收敛

郭腾云; 徐 勇; 杨国安   

  1. 1中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101;

    2 中国科学院研究生院,北京,100039

  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 发布日期:2006-01-15

Regional Economic Development Policy and Regional Economic Growth Convergence in China, 1952-2000

GUO Teng-Yun, XU Yong, YANG Guo-An   

  1. 1 Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;

    2 Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Published:2006-01-15

摘要: 文中利用计量经济模型方法,计算分析了1952-2000年我国区域经济增长空间分布变化的趋势及其与区域经济发展政策的关系。研究结果显示,尽管从1952-2000年以实际人均GDP为指标,我国区域经济增长变化呈发散趋势。然而,根据不同时段国家所采取的经济发展政策措施的不同把整个时期划分为若干不同时段,则发现1952-1966、1979-1990、1979-2000年等时段,我国区域经济增长过程中均存在显著的b 型绝对和条件收敛趋势。进一步的研究还显示我国区域经济增长过程中的b 型收敛趋势与区域经济发展政策之间存在显著的关系。

关键词: 区域发展政策, 区域经济增长, b 型收敛, 中国

Abstract: In this paper, the regional economic growth convergence across provinces in China during the period 1952-2000 is scrutinized using an econometric model. The results in this paper provide new insights on regional economic growth change across provinces in China during the period. On the whole, there were no regional economic growth convergences in terms of per capita real GDP during the period 1952-2000. But during the sub-periods with relatively favorable economic development environment in the sample period, there were not only absolute b convergences, but also conditional b convergences during the sub-periods 1979-2000, 1979-1990; and during the sub-period 1990-2000 there was conditional b convergence; whereas during the sub-period 1966-1979, which was full of political turmoil, there was no convergence at all, there was an evident divergence instead. The empirical analysis also shows that there were significant associations between regional economic growth convergences and regional development policy statistically. With the introduction of regional policy variable in the econometric model the b convergences become even more evident and significant statistically, which further reveal that effect of regional development policy on regional economic development is essential in Chinese regional economic development. So in the course of regional economic development as long as the Chinese central government and local governments bring into full play of regional economic growth convergence and give full support to the underdeveloped areas in China from policy side, the increasingly regional economic disparities can be kept within limits efficiently.

Key words: Regional development policy, Regional economic growth, b-convergence, China

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