Multilevel LMDI decomposition of changes in aggregate coal consumption in China

doi:10.7523/j.issn.2095-6134.2016.02.004

Abstract

Abstract:

Analysis of the influencing factors on China's coal consumption is important for making the energy-saving and emission-reduction policies. The influence factors are decomposed into economic effect, structural effect, and intensity effect by using LMDI at the micro, meso, and macro levels, respectively. The robustness of the three effects is tested. Results show that the economic growth increased the coal consumption but the energy intensity decreased the consumption. The results of multiplicative decomposition show good robustness at different regional levels.

Key words: coal consumption, multilevel decomposition, LMDI, multiplicative decomposition

CLC Number:

F224.9

DONG Jiefang, WANG Qiang, ZHANG Xiaolei, WANG Xingmin. Multilevel LMDI decomposition of changes in aggregate coal consumption in China[J]. , 2016, 33(2): 162-169.

References

[1] 任少飞,冯华.中国经济增长与煤炭消费结构的关系[J].财经科学,2006(12):108-114.
[2] 张兆响,廖先玲,王晓松.中国煤炭消费与经济增长的变结构协整分析[J].资源科学,2008, 30(9):1 282-1 289.
[3] 张兆响,廖先玲,王晓松,等.基于协整关系的中国区域煤炭消费与经济增长比较研究[J].资源科学,2009,31(6):1 081-1 087.
[4] 张兴平,赵旭,顾蕊.我国煤炭消费与经济增长关系的多变量协整分析[J].煤炭学报,2008,33(6):713-716.
[5] 薛黎明,侯运炳,蔡先锋,等.中国煤炭消费与经济发展水平之间关系的协整分析[J].中国矿业,2011,20(1):31-35.
[6] Wolde-Rufael Y. Coal consumption and economic growth revisited[J].Applied Energy,2010, 87(1):160-167.
[7] Li R, Leung G C K. Coal consumption and economic growth in China[J].Energy Policy,2012, 40(1):438-443.
[8] Bloch H, Rafiq S, Salim R. Coal consumption, CO₂ emission and economic growth in China: empirical evidence and policy responses[J].Energy Economics,2012,34(2):518-528.
[9] Govindaraju V G R C, Tang C F. The dynamic links between CO₂ emissions, economic growth and coal consumption in China and India[J].Applied Energy, 2013,104(2):310-318.
[10] Michieka N M, Fletcher J J. An investigation of the role of China's urban population on coal consumption[J].Energy Policy,2012,48(C):668-676.
[11] 李金克,王风华,耿殿明.中国CO₂排放、煤炭消费及经济增长的协整检验[J].统计与决策,2011(19):113-115.
[12] 林伯强,魏巍贤,李丕东.中国长期煤炭需求:影响与政策选择[J].经济研究,2007(2):48-58.
[13] 孔宪丽.中国煤炭消费与影响因素动态关系的实证分析:兼论煤炭消费的非对称价格效应[J].资源科学,2010,32(10):1 830-1 838.
[14] 孙涵,付晓灵,张先锋.基于支持向量回归机的中国煤炭长期需求预测[J].中国地质大学学报:社会科学版,2011,11(5):15-18.
[15] 张洪潮,王泽江,李晓利,等.中国煤炭消费需求波动规律及成因分析[J].中国人口 ·资源与环境,2014,24(1):94-101.
[16] 刘满芝,王锐,周梅华,等.中国区域煤炭消费影响效应的比较分析:基于面板数据模型的实证经验[J].资源科学,2011,(9):1 641-1 649.
[17] 陈闻君,佘开勇.中国省域煤炭消费空间格局演化特征[J].地理与地理信息科学,2014,30(2):56-60.
[18] 林伯强,毛东昕.煤炭消费终端部门对煤炭需求的动态影响分析[J].中国地质大学学报:社会科学版,2014,(6):1-12.
[19] Ang B W. Decomposition analysis for policymaking in energy[J]. Energy Policy, 2004.32(9):1 131-1 139.
[20] Ang B W. LMDI decomposition approach: A guide for implementation[J].Energy Policy,2015,86:233-238.
[21] 张伟,张金锁,孙再罗.基于LMDI指数分析的中国煤炭消费增长分解研究[J].中国矿业,2014,23(8):42-45,87.
[22] Zhang M, Li H, Zhou M, et al. Decomposition analysis of energy consumption in Chinese transportation sector[J]. Applied Energy, 2011,88(6):2 279-2 285.
[23] Tian Y, Zhu Q, Geng Y. An analysis of energy-related greenhouse gas emissions in the Chinese iron and steel industry[J]. Energy Policy, 2013,56(2):352-361.
[24] Zhang Y J, Da Y B. The decomposition of energy-related carbon emission and its decoupling with economic growth in China[J]. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2015,41:1 255-1 266.
[25] Ang B W. The LMDI approach to decomposition analysis: a practical guide[J]. Energy Policy, 2005,33(7):867-871.
[26] González P F, Landajo M, Presno M J. Multilevel LMDI decomposition of changes in aggregate energy consumption. A cross country analysis in the EU-27[J]. Energy Policy,2014,68(5):576-584.