Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences ›› 2026, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (3): 296-305.DOI: 10.7523/j.ucas.2024.034
• Mathematics & Physics • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:2024-01-22
Accepted:2024-04-25
Online:2026-05-15
Contact:
Weiping ZHANG
CLC Number:
Shan PANG, Weiping ZHANG. Subgroup analysis for left-censored data based on pairwise fusion penalty[J]. Journal of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2026, 43(3): 296-305.
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | MAE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 0.033 4(0.022 0) | 0.028 8(0.018 6) | 0.028 0(0.008 6) | 0.027 6(0.009 7) | 0.039 8(0.023 9) |
| MCP | 0.033 4(0.022 3) | 0.027 9(0.018 1) | 0.028 3(0.008 8) | 0.027 6(0.009 7) | 0.039 0(0.021 4) | |
| L1 | 1.224 8(0.000 5) | 1.003 4(0.002 4) | 0.104 1(0.037 5) | 0.093 2(0.028 0) | 0.475 6(0.066 9) | |
| Oracle | 0.018 9(0.027 4) | 0.019 9(0.031 7) | 0.022 9(0.013 2) | 0.018 6(0.008 1) | 0.019 4(0.013 5) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.034 1(0.022 3) | 0.029 4(0.018 9) | 0.027 6(0.008 6) | 0.023 6(0.007 5) | 0.039 4(0.020 5) |
| MCP | 0.032 4(0.021 4) | 0.030 4(0.020 2) | 0.027 9(0.008 7) | 0.022 9(0.007 3) | 0.040 2(0.020 3) | |
| L1 | 0.816 5(0.000 5) | 0.668 9(0.001 6) | 0.087 8(0.032 6) | 0.068 2(0.020 2) | 0.185 1(0.054 4) | |
| Oracle | 0.019 1(0.029 4) | 0.019 8(0.023 8) | 0.020 8(0.013 2) | 0.016 0(0.008 2) | 0.019 1(0.013 8) | |
| 2 | SCAD | 0.032 6(0.020 8) | 0.028 0(0.017 7) | 0.027 7(0.008 9) | 0.023 7(0.006 8) | 0.034 1(0.018 2) |
| MCP | 0.033 5(0.021 4) | 0.028 6(0.018 0) | 0.027 8(0.008 7) | 0.023 0(0.007 5) | 0.033 6(0.017 7) | |
| L1 | 0.668 0(0.000 9) | 0.641 1(0.000 6) | 0.082 9(0.018 5) | 0.082 2(0.018 3) | 0.150 3(0.051 0) | |
| Oracle | 0.019 8(0.029 5) | 0.017 7(0.030 6) | 0.016 5(0.038 6) | 0.012 5(0.030 3) | 0.018 8(0.013 4) | |
| 1 | SCAD | 0.036 8(0.023 4) | 0.031 6(0.018 0) | 0.028 9(0.010 5) | 0.026 1(0.008 5) | 0.043 6(0.025 5) |
| MCP | 0.040 3(0.023 3) | 0.035 1(0.020 2) | 0.034 7(0.011 8) | 0.021 9(0.007 5) | 0.043 6(0.025 5) | |
| L1 | 1.633 1(0.000 4) | 1.338 7(0.003 7) | 0.132 4(0.039 3) | 0.110 1(0.036 0) | 0.935 8(0.058 6) | |
| Oracle | 0.020 7(0.029 0) | 0.020 3(0.029 4) | 0.025 4(0.010 0) | 0.020 7(0.011 3) | 0.018 2(0.010 8) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.036 3(0.020 9) | 0.031 6(0.019 9) | 0.034 5(0.011 4) | 0.028 7(0.010 1) | 0.043 5(0.022 0) |
| MCP | 0.040 1(0.026 2) | 0.034 6(0.022 7) | 0.034 5(0.011 4) | 0.028 7(0.010 1) | 0.044 0(0.021 9) | |
| L1 | 1.474 9(0.000 1) | 1.336 1(0.002 0) | 0.127 3(0.046 9) | 0.106 3(0.039 9) | 0.792 2(0.064 6) | |
| Oracle | 0.021 6(0.024 3) | 0.020 3(0.028 3) | 0.024 5(0.011 1) | 0.021 3(0.011 2) | 0.017 4(0.011 1) | |
| 2 | SCAD | 0.038 2(0.023 0) | 0.033 0(0.019 6) | 0.033 6(0.011 6) | 0.027 5(0.009 7) | 0.034 1(0.021 1) |
| MCP | 0.031 2(0.020 0) | 0.031 0(0.021 4) | 0.033 2(0.012 1) | 0.027 2(0.008 0) | 0.034 1(0.021 1) | |
| L1 | 1.224 7(0.000 2) | 1.001 9(0.001 3) | 0.071 6(0.025 4) | 0.059 8(0.021 9) | 0.372 3(0.058 7) | |
| Oracle | 0.019 4(0.025 2) | 0.018 2(0.029 4) | 0.023 8(0.010 1) | 0.020 2(0.010 5) | 0.017 0(0.010 9) | |
Table 1 Mean and standard deviation of RMSE and MAE of parameter estimators
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | MAE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 0.033 4(0.022 0) | 0.028 8(0.018 6) | 0.028 0(0.008 6) | 0.027 6(0.009 7) | 0.039 8(0.023 9) |
| MCP | 0.033 4(0.022 3) | 0.027 9(0.018 1) | 0.028 3(0.008 8) | 0.027 6(0.009 7) | 0.039 0(0.021 4) | |
| L1 | 1.224 8(0.000 5) | 1.003 4(0.002 4) | 0.104 1(0.037 5) | 0.093 2(0.028 0) | 0.475 6(0.066 9) | |
| Oracle | 0.018 9(0.027 4) | 0.019 9(0.031 7) | 0.022 9(0.013 2) | 0.018 6(0.008 1) | 0.019 4(0.013 5) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.034 1(0.022 3) | 0.029 4(0.018 9) | 0.027 6(0.008 6) | 0.023 6(0.007 5) | 0.039 4(0.020 5) |
| MCP | 0.032 4(0.021 4) | 0.030 4(0.020 2) | 0.027 9(0.008 7) | 0.022 9(0.007 3) | 0.040 2(0.020 3) | |
| L1 | 0.816 5(0.000 5) | 0.668 9(0.001 6) | 0.087 8(0.032 6) | 0.068 2(0.020 2) | 0.185 1(0.054 4) | |
| Oracle | 0.019 1(0.029 4) | 0.019 8(0.023 8) | 0.020 8(0.013 2) | 0.016 0(0.008 2) | 0.019 1(0.013 8) | |
| 2 | SCAD | 0.032 6(0.020 8) | 0.028 0(0.017 7) | 0.027 7(0.008 9) | 0.023 7(0.006 8) | 0.034 1(0.018 2) |
| MCP | 0.033 5(0.021 4) | 0.028 6(0.018 0) | 0.027 8(0.008 7) | 0.023 0(0.007 5) | 0.033 6(0.017 7) | |
| L1 | 0.668 0(0.000 9) | 0.641 1(0.000 6) | 0.082 9(0.018 5) | 0.082 2(0.018 3) | 0.150 3(0.051 0) | |
| Oracle | 0.019 8(0.029 5) | 0.017 7(0.030 6) | 0.016 5(0.038 6) | 0.012 5(0.030 3) | 0.018 8(0.013 4) | |
| 1 | SCAD | 0.036 8(0.023 4) | 0.031 6(0.018 0) | 0.028 9(0.010 5) | 0.026 1(0.008 5) | 0.043 6(0.025 5) |
| MCP | 0.040 3(0.023 3) | 0.035 1(0.020 2) | 0.034 7(0.011 8) | 0.021 9(0.007 5) | 0.043 6(0.025 5) | |
| L1 | 1.633 1(0.000 4) | 1.338 7(0.003 7) | 0.132 4(0.039 3) | 0.110 1(0.036 0) | 0.935 8(0.058 6) | |
| Oracle | 0.020 7(0.029 0) | 0.020 3(0.029 4) | 0.025 4(0.010 0) | 0.020 7(0.011 3) | 0.018 2(0.010 8) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.036 3(0.020 9) | 0.031 6(0.019 9) | 0.034 5(0.011 4) | 0.028 7(0.010 1) | 0.043 5(0.022 0) |
| MCP | 0.040 1(0.026 2) | 0.034 6(0.022 7) | 0.034 5(0.011 4) | 0.028 7(0.010 1) | 0.044 0(0.021 9) | |
| L1 | 1.474 9(0.000 1) | 1.336 1(0.002 0) | 0.127 3(0.046 9) | 0.106 3(0.039 9) | 0.792 2(0.064 6) | |
| Oracle | 0.021 6(0.024 3) | 0.020 3(0.028 3) | 0.024 5(0.011 1) | 0.021 3(0.011 2) | 0.017 4(0.011 1) | |
| 2 | SCAD | 0.038 2(0.023 0) | 0.033 0(0.019 6) | 0.033 6(0.011 6) | 0.027 5(0.009 7) | 0.034 1(0.021 1) |
| MCP | 0.031 2(0.020 0) | 0.031 0(0.021 4) | 0.033 2(0.012 1) | 0.027 2(0.008 0) | 0.034 1(0.021 1) | |
| L1 | 1.224 7(0.000 2) | 1.001 9(0.001 3) | 0.071 6(0.025 4) | 0.059 8(0.021 9) | 0.372 3(0.058 7) | |
| Oracle | 0.019 4(0.025 2) | 0.018 2(0.029 4) | 0.023 8(0.010 1) | 0.020 2(0.010 5) | 0.017 0(0.010 9) | |
| RI | ARI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 3.03(0.222 7) | 0.998 5(0.010 5) | 0.996 5(0.025 3) | 98 |
| MCP | 3.03(0.258 1) | 0.998 4(0.011 7) | 0.996 3(0.028 4) | 98 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.332 2(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 3.02(0.141 4) | 0.998 9(0.007 2) | 0.997 5(0.017 0) | 98.6 |
| MCP | 3.03 (0.222 7) | 0.998 5(0.010 5) | 0.996 5(0.025 3) | 98.2 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.332 2 (0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 2 | SCAD | 3.02(0.2) | 0.999 0(0.009 0) | 0.997 7(0.022 0) | 99 |
| MCP | 3.01(0.1) | 0.999 4(0.005 1) | 0.998 7(0.012 0) | 99 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.332 2(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 1 | SCAD | 3.18(0.542 9) | 0.990 7(0.028 7) | 0.977 4(0.070 5) | 97 |
| MCP | 3.2(0.556 6) | 0.990 2(0.029 5) | 0.976 1(0.072 3) | 96.6 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.331 1(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 3.17(0.551 4) | 0.991 0(0.029 4) | 0.978 1(0.073 1) | 98.2 |
| MCP | 3.18(0.557 4) | 0.990 5(0.029 7) | 0.976 8(0.073 8) | 98 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.331 1(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 2 | SCAD | 3.04(0.242 8) | 0.998 0(0.011 8) | 0.995 2(0.028 2) | 98.8 |
| MCP | 3.05(0.286 7) | 0.997 5(0.013 5) | 0.994 2(0.032 5) | 98.6 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.331 1(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
Table 2 Grouping results
| RI | ARI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 3.03(0.222 7) | 0.998 5(0.010 5) | 0.996 5(0.025 3) | 98 |
| MCP | 3.03(0.258 1) | 0.998 4(0.011 7) | 0.996 3(0.028 4) | 98 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.332 2(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 3.02(0.141 4) | 0.998 9(0.007 2) | 0.997 5(0.017 0) | 98.6 |
| MCP | 3.03 (0.222 7) | 0.998 5(0.010 5) | 0.996 5(0.025 3) | 98.2 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.332 2 (0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 2 | SCAD | 3.02(0.2) | 0.999 0(0.009 0) | 0.997 7(0.022 0) | 99 |
| MCP | 3.01(0.1) | 0.999 4(0.005 1) | 0.998 7(0.012 0) | 99 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.332 2(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 1 | SCAD | 3.18(0.542 9) | 0.990 7(0.028 7) | 0.977 4(0.070 5) | 97 |
| MCP | 3.2(0.556 6) | 0.990 2(0.029 5) | 0.976 1(0.072 3) | 96.6 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.331 1(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 3.17(0.551 4) | 0.991 0(0.029 4) | 0.978 1(0.073 1) | 98.2 |
| MCP | 3.18(0.557 4) | 0.990 5(0.029 7) | 0.976 8(0.073 8) | 98 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.331 1(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| 2 | SCAD | 3.04(0.242 8) | 0.998 0(0.011 8) | 0.995 2(0.028 2) | 98.8 |
| MCP | 3.05(0.286 7) | 0.997 5(0.013 5) | 0.994 2(0.032 5) | 98.6 | |
| L1 | 1(0) | 0.331 1(0) | 0(0) | 0 | |
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | MAE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 0.040 1(0.023 2) | 0.034 4(0.019 6) | 0.034 7(0.012 7) | 0.029 3(0.010 9) | 0.032 6(0.019 7) |
| MCP | 0.041 0(0.022 9) | 0.035 2(0.019 3) | 0.035 0(0.012 1) | 0.029 5(0.010 7) | 0.032 4(0.019 6) | |
| Oracle | 0.029 4(0.025 2) | 0.021 5(0.023 0) | 0.018 0(0.013 9) | 0.011 6(0.011 8) | 0.021 4(0.014 2) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.041 1(0.026 2) | 0.035 0(0.022 2) | 0.034 8(0.012 3) | 0.029 3(0.010 5) | 0.039 0(0.022 0) |
| MCP | 0.041 3(0.026 3) | 0.035 2(0.022 2) | 0.034 8(0.012 3) | 0.029 3(0.010 5) | 0.039 0(0.021 9) | |
| Oracle | 0.028 9(0.024 3) | 0.021 1(0.022 2) | 0.017 9(0.013 1) | 0.011 7(0.011 1) | 0.021 1(0.014 3) | |
Table 3 Mean and standard deviation of RMSE and MAE of parameter estimators with mixed normal error
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | MAE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 0.040 1(0.023 2) | 0.034 4(0.019 6) | 0.034 7(0.012 7) | 0.029 3(0.010 9) | 0.032 6(0.019 7) |
| MCP | 0.041 0(0.022 9) | 0.035 2(0.019 3) | 0.035 0(0.012 1) | 0.029 5(0.010 7) | 0.032 4(0.019 6) | |
| Oracle | 0.029 4(0.025 2) | 0.021 5(0.023 0) | 0.018 0(0.013 9) | 0.011 6(0.011 8) | 0.021 4(0.014 2) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.041 1(0.026 2) | 0.035 0(0.022 2) | 0.034 8(0.012 3) | 0.029 3(0.010 5) | 0.039 0(0.022 0) |
| MCP | 0.041 3(0.026 3) | 0.035 2(0.022 2) | 0.034 8(0.012 3) | 0.029 3(0.010 5) | 0.039 0(0.021 9) | |
| Oracle | 0.028 9(0.024 3) | 0.021 1(0.022 2) | 0.017 9(0.013 1) | 0.011 7(0.011 1) | 0.021 1(0.014 3) | |
| RI | ARI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
Table 4 Grouping results with mixed normal error
| RI | ARI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 3(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | MAE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 0.037 3(0.020 4) | 0.032 0(0.017 6) | 0.028 6(0.009 9) | 0.023 9(0.008 7) | 0.041 9(0.023 8) |
| MCP | 0.037 4(0.020 2) | 0.032 0(0.017 5) | 0.028 8(0.009 8) | 0.024 0(0.008 4) | 0.042 1(0.023 8) | |
| Oracle | 0.027 3(0.018 5) | 0.018 2(0.016 1) | 0.010 8(0.010 7) | 0.015 8(0.009 2) | 0.016 8(0.011 8) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.033 6(0.018 2) | 0.028 7(0.015 8) | 0.028 1(0.009 7) | 0.023 2(0.008 5) | 0.046 7(0.026 1) |
| MCP | 0.033 6(0.017 6) | 0.028 7(0.015 4) | 0.028 2(0.009 6) | 0.023 4(0.008 1) | 0.046 9(0.026 0) | |
| Oracle | 0.022 3(0.019 1) | 0.017 8(0.016 6) | 0.019 8(0.010 4) | 0.014 7(0.009 1) | 0.015 9(0.011 7) | |
Table 5 Mean and standard deviation of RMSE and MAE of parameter estimators when K=5
| RMSE | MAE | RMSE | MAE | MAE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 0.037 3(0.020 4) | 0.032 0(0.017 6) | 0.028 6(0.009 9) | 0.023 9(0.008 7) | 0.041 9(0.023 8) |
| MCP | 0.037 4(0.020 2) | 0.032 0(0.017 5) | 0.028 8(0.009 8) | 0.024 0(0.008 4) | 0.042 1(0.023 8) | |
| Oracle | 0.027 3(0.018 5) | 0.018 2(0.016 1) | 0.010 8(0.010 7) | 0.015 8(0.009 2) | 0.016 8(0.011 8) | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 0.033 6(0.018 2) | 0.028 7(0.015 8) | 0.028 1(0.009 7) | 0.023 2(0.008 5) | 0.046 7(0.026 1) |
| MCP | 0.033 6(0.017 6) | 0.028 7(0.015 4) | 0.028 2(0.009 6) | 0.023 4(0.008 1) | 0.046 9(0.026 0) | |
| Oracle | 0.022 3(0.019 1) | 0.017 8(0.016 6) | 0.019 8(0.010 4) | 0.014 7(0.009 1) | 0.015 9(0.011 7) | |
| RI | ARI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
Table 6 Grouping results when K=5
| RI | ARI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCAD | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 | |
| 1.5 | SCAD | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| MCP | 5(0) | 1(0) | 1(0) | 100 |
| RI | ARI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobit SCAD | 2 | 0.924 | 0.771 |
| Tobit MCP | 2 | 0.924 | 0.771 |
Table 7 Grouping accuracy
| RI | ARI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tobit SCAD | 2 | 0.924 | 0.771 |
| Tobit MCP | 2 | 0.924 | 0.771 |
| Tobit SCAD | 2.720 | 5.073 | -0.098 | -0.138 | -0.092 | 0.134 |
| Tobit MCP | 2.744 | 5.090 | -0.102 | -0.146 | -0.093 | 0.136 |
| Oracle | 2.694 | 5.450 | -0.072 | -0.133 | -0.089 | 0.158 |
Table 8 Parameter estimates for different methods
| Tobit SCAD | 2.720 | 5.073 | -0.098 | -0.138 | -0.092 | 0.134 |
| Tobit MCP | 2.744 | 5.090 | -0.102 | -0.146 | -0.093 | 0.136 |
| Oracle | 2.694 | 5.450 | -0.072 | -0.133 | -0.089 | 0.158 |
| Tobit损失 | MSE | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobit SCAD | 1.290(0.038) | 0.053(0.018) |
| Tobit MCP | 1.290(0.039) | 0.068(0.023) |
| Oracle | 0.874(0.027) | 0.044(0.014) |
Table 9 Tobit losses and predicted MSEs for different methods
| Tobit损失 | MSE | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobit SCAD | 1.290(0.038) | 0.053(0.018) |
| Tobit MCP | 1.290(0.039) | 0.068(0.023) |
| Oracle | 0.874(0.027) | 0.044(0.014) |
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