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Long-term multi-vehicle trajectory prediction with scene contextual information

YANG Qiuyu1, XIAN Kai2, GUO Jifu2, ZHU Zhongyuan2, JIAO Jianbin3†   

  1. 1 Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100083, China;
    2 Beijing Transport Institute, Beijing 100073, China;
    3 School of Electronic, Electrical and Communication Engineering, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
  • Received:2024-01-29 Revised:2024-06-25 Online:2024-07-17

Abstract: Precisely perceiving the future actions of surrounding traffic agents is critical for ensuring the safety of autonomous vehicle. This paper mainly focuses on the complicated problem of long-term multi-agent trajectory prediction. Existing trajectory prediction methods can be categorized into joint prediction and marginal prediction. Although joint prediction methods achieve better scene consistency in multi-agent scenarios, both of them fail to reach satisfactory results in long-term prediction tasks due to their inability to capture changes in driver behavior over time. In this paper, we introduce a novel joint prediction method called Trajectory Prediction through Post-processing (TPP). The core of this method is the trajectory post-processing module, which utilizes attention mechanisms to model interactions among different vehicles. By representing a single vehicle with multiple embeddings, the module also simulates the changes in behavior during driving. With the help of post-processing module, our method is able to generate consistent multi-agent trajectories. We evaluate TPP on a short-term prediction dataset and a long-term prediction dataset separately, comparing it with mainstream trajectory prediction methods. The results indicate that TPP achieves better performance.

Key words: vehicle trajectory prediction, long-term joint prediction, trajectory post-processing, deep learning, attention-mechanism

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